Créteil II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CRE
4 - 2
BEA
56%
22%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ROY
2 - 3
CRE
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 0
LIL
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SCM
1 - 1
CRE
25%
25%
51%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
AUB
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ARR
3 - 1
ROY
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LIL
0 - 1
ARR
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ARR
0 - 0
SCM
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AUB
2 - 2
ARR
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ARR
3 - 2
REI
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |