Cremonese Sub 19 vs Renate Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+134%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
2º
1º
35
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 4
CRE
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CRE
4 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 4
CRE
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 1
CRE
26%
25%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
5 - 1
PAD
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Renate Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
SUD
27%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 0
REN
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 2
UDI
15%
18%
68%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 0
SPA
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +5 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
USA
0 - 0
REN
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |