Crema vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
CRE
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
0 - 1
BRE
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PSM
2 - 1
CRE
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SAV
0 - 1
CRE
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 1
ALF
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAM
88%
9%
3%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 0
MEZ
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 3
ASD
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAN
3 - 2
SAM
63%
21%
17%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |