Crema vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 1
CRE
58%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 0
SON
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAL
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 2
CRE
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CRE
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 1
UNI
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
OLG
2 - 2
FOL
22%
25%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
FOL
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 0
USP
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
DES
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |