Creck Sporting vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creck Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CSF
0 - 1
MWF
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CSF
1 - 0
AZT
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BLU
0 - 0
CSF
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
BUL
4 - 1
CSF
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CSF
1 - 4
DDY
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
KAM
1 - 0
EKH
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KAM
0 - 2
SIL
40%
28%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MAF
0 - 4
KAM
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAM
0 - 2
MOY
37%
28%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
EHF
1 - 3
KAM
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |