CRB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRB
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 1
JEC
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 2
CRB
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 3
CRB
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 2
ATL
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
NAU
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
CEA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
BRA
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |