CRB vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
3 - 0
CRB
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRB
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRB
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 2
VIT
37%
29%
35%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 1
VIT
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
TRE
0 - 2
FLU
22%
30%
48%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
2 - 3
FLU
23%
31%
47%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
40%
31%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |