Cray Wanderers vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ENF
1 - 0
CRA
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 6
DUL
11%
18%
72%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
THA
2 - 1
CRA
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 6
HEN
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 0
CRA
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 1
LOW
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 1
EAS
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 3
BOG
24%
24%
53%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 1
LEW
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 3
WEA
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |