Crawley Green vs Baldock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Green
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 1
CRA
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 0
CRA
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
RBF
6 - 0
CRA
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MKI
4 - 1
CRA
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRA
2 - 0
DUN
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Baldock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 2
RBF
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
BAL
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
HAT
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ARL
2 - 1
BAL
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BIG
0 - 3
BAL
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |