Crateús vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRA
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
CRA
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
IGU
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
IGU
2 - 1
QUI
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 2
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |