Crateús vs Nova Russas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
CRA
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 2
CRA
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
TIR
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Russas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
TIR
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
NOV
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
UNI
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |