Crateús vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
IGU
1 - 0
CRA
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 0
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRA
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
IGU
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
ITA
24%
23%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 0
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
QUI
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |