Craigroyston vs Tynecastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
62.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ORM
3 - 1
CRA
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
CRA
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
COL
29%
21%
51%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 1
HER
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
LEI
7 - 1
CRA
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 2
TYN
43%
21%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PEE
1 - 0
TYN
34%
21%
45%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TYN
3 - 1
DUN
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TYN
1 - 0
HAW
81%
12%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 6
TYN
18%
18%
65%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |