Crack´s vs Fbm Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crack´s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 1
ATV
47%
24%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 1
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
REQ
40%
25%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 2
TCF
27%
26%
47%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fbm Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
CHE
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
REQ
2 - 1
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TCF
1 - 1
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
QUA
30%
25%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |