Recreativo da Caála vs Progresso Sambizanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
41.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo da Caála
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
REC
4 - 1
CRD
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
CRD
0 - 0
FCC
33%
28%
40%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
CRD
1 - 2
SAG
29%
32%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
PDC
3 - 1
CRD
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
CRD
1 - 0
INT
20%
29%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
FCC
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
SAG
1 - 1
PRO
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
INT
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
CDH
0 - 0
PRO
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
DFC
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |