Premier League Round 11

Coventry City vs Arsenal analysis

Coventry City Arsenal
81 ELO 88
4.1% Tilt -10.2%
646º General ELO ranking 16º
27º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32%
Coventry City
27.1%
Draw
40.9%
Arsenal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
Coventry City
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.9%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coventry City
-2%
+1%
Arsenal

ELO progression

Coventry City
Arsenal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coventry City
Coventry City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 1990
COV
Coventry City
3 - 0
Hull City
HUL
85%
10%
5%
81 59 22 0
27 Oct. 1990
SHE
Sheffield United
0 - 1
Coventry City
COV
33%
30%
38%
81 70 11 0
20 Oct. 1990
COV
Coventry City
1 - 2
Southampton
SOU
50%
25%
26%
81 82 1 0
09 Oct. 1990
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
2 - 3
Coventry City
COV
27%
26%
47%
81 61 20 0
06 Oct. 1990
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 0
Coventry City
COV
52%
26%
22%
82 79 3 -1

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 1990
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
38%
28%
35%
88 79 9 0
27 Oct. 1990
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
74%
18%
9%
88 70 18 0
20 Oct. 1990
MUD
Manchester United
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
38%
28%
34%
88 86 2 0
09 Oct. 1990
ARS
Arsenal
5 - 0
Chester City FC
CHE
92%
6%
2%
88 54 34 0
06 Oct. 1990
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 0
Norwich City
NOR
66%
21%
13%
88 81 7 0