CD Covadonga vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
COV
1 - 4
LEA
47%
25%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
COV
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
COV
2 - 1
MOS
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 0
COV
49%
26%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
COV
1 - 1
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SIE
2 - 1
UPL
19%
24%
58%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
UPL
4 - 0
GIN
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CUD
1 - 1
UPL
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
UPL
4 - 2
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAU
0 - 3
UPL
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |