Cova Piedade vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SCF
3 - 1
COV
50%
28%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COV
1 - 1
BRA
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LEX
4 - 0
COV
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 0
COV
64%
22%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
COV
1 - 2
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNM
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 2
PEN
51%
27%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SPC
2 - 3
PEN
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 0
OLH
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |