Costa Ayala vs UD Barrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
COS
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
COS
2 - 0
TER
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
UCA
1 - 0
COS
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
COT
15%
21%
65%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
COS
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Barrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
DOR
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
LOM
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
COS
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAR
43%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |