Costa Ayala vs Atalaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 5
COS
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
COS
1 - 0
IPI
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARU
1 - 0
COS
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
COS
2 - 1
UDS
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
LNI
2 - 0
COS
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atalaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ATA
0 - 1
SIS
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
ART
2 - 2
ATA
15%
18%
68%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ATA
2 - 2
UCB
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 5
ATA
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAR
63%
18%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |