Costa Ayala vs Tinajo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
UDG
2 - 0
COS
30%
23%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 4
TEL
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 0
COS
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COS
3 - 1
VLS
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
COS
0 - 3
BEC
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tinajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TIN
0 - 2
PDS
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ING
0 - 0
TIN
41%
23%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TIN
2 - 1
SNI
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BLP
1 - 1
TIN
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TIN
1 - 0
LOM
46%
23%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |