Costa Ayala vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
COS
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DPV
1 - 2
COS
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
VLS
2 - 0
COS
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BLP
5 - 0
COS
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 2
UNI
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
COT
3 - 3
DOR
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
LOM
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
COT
2 - 1
VLS
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
COT
1 - 1
TAR
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |