Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 3
COS
8%
16%
76%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
COS
2 - 2
CAI
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
COS
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COS
2 - 2
LIB
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
3 - 2
COS
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 0
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIR
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
3 - 0
DOM
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SGI
0 - 2
VIR
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 1
PEN
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |