San Marino Cup Last 16

Global 2-3

Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis

Cosmos AC Virtus
69 ELO 71
10.4% Tilt 7.2%
1883º General ELO ranking 1786º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47%
Cosmos
23%
Draw
30%
AC Virtus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Cosmos
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30%
Win probability
AC Virtus
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cosmos
-7%
+34%
AC Virtus

ELO progression

Cosmos
AC Virtus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cosmos
Cosmos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
CAI
Cailungo
0 - 5
Cosmos
COS
7%
18%
75%
70 34 36 0
13 Sep. 2024
COS
Cosmos
0 - 1
Murata
MUR
62%
21%
17%
70 62 8 0
30 Aug. 2024
LIB
Libertas
0 - 4
Cosmos
COS
13%
21%
66%
70 49 21 0
17 May. 2024
FIO
La Fiorita
2 - 0
Cosmos
COS
42%
27%
32%
70 70 0 0
11 May. 2024
TPE
Tre Penne
0 - 0
Cosmos
COS
43%
25%
32%
70 67 3 0

Matches

AC Virtus
AC Virtus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2024
VIR
AC Virtus
1 - 0
Juvenes / Dogana
JUV
67%
20%
13%
70 55 15 0
14 Sep. 2024
DOM
Domagnano
1 - 2
AC Virtus
VIR
15%
23%
62%
69 52 17 +1
01 Sep. 2024
VIR
AC Virtus
1 - 1
San Giovanni
SGI
70%
19%
11%
69 54 15 0
28 Aug. 2024
VIR
AC Virtus
1 - 0
La Fiorita
FIO
39%
25%
37%
68 70 2 +1
30 Jul. 2024
FLO
FC Flora
5 - 2
AC Virtus
VIR
62%
20%
18%
69 76 7 -1