Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SGI
2 - 0
COS
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
COS
0 - 6
LIB
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
COS
0 - 3
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
COS
1 - 10
FAE
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 1
TFI
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 2
VIR
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
VIR
0 - 2
DOM
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
1 - 0
VIR
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |