Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DOM
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
COS
5 - 2
VIR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TPE
1 - 1
COS
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FAE
0 - 6
VIR
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
COS
5 - 2
VIR
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
0 - 1
DOM
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 1
TFI
80%
13%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |