Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
6 - 0
COS
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TPE
2 - 0
COS
78%
14%
7%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
TPE
4 - 2
COS
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 2
MUR
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TFI
0 - 3
TPE
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
4 - 2
SGI
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
2 - 0
FIO
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DOM
2 - 4
TFI
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
2 - 1
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |