Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SGI
1 - 0
COS
24%
21%
55%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COS
1 - 3
FAE
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
5 - 1
COS
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 1
COS
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
TFI
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
TFI
0 - 2
LIN
29%
24%
48%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
TPE
0 - 2
TFI
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 4
TFI
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TFI
6 - 3
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |