Cosmos vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
42%
23%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
COS
4 - 1
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
SUT
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 0
COS
56%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
SGI
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 1
TFI
13%
22%
66%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SGI
3 - 1
SMA
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 3
LIB
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |