Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 2
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 2
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
22%
24%
55%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 2
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 0
FAE
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
LIB
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 3
LIB
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |