Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 1
COS
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
COS
1 - 3
CAI
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
COS
0 - 3
PEN
11%
21%
68%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 0
COS
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 0
FIO
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 0
FOL
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TFI
0 - 4
FOL
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 2
FOL
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |