Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
54%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
DOM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
COS
1 - 0
TFI
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 0
SGI
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
COS
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TPE
1 - 2
FOL
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |