Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
FAE
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 1
COS
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COS
1 - 4
FAE
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 0
PEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 2
CAI
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 2
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
FCV
5 - 1
FIO
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 5
FCV
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |