Cosmos vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
COS
3 - 1
TFI
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
DOM
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
COS
2 - 0
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CAI
0 - 3
COS
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
PEN
1 - 1
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
FIO
2 - 1
TPE
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
FIO
0 - 4
FIO
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 2
FIO
39%
24%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |