Cosmos vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 3
COS
23%
24%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 1
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
31%
26%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 4
COS
31%
24%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 5
FAE
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FAE
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
65%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
FAE
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |