Cosma vs Montjoly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CSC
0 - 0
COS
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
COS
0 - 2
SIN
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GEL
1 - 2
COS
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
COS
3 - 2
GRA
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
AGO
1 - 1
COS
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montjoly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
JMA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
CSC
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SIN
3 - 3
MON
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
GEL
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |