Coruripe vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CSE
3 - 1
COR
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
COR
5 - 3
IPA
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
COR
3 - 1
ASA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
COR
0 - 3
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
COR
6 - 3
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
CSE
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 1
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 4
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IPA
1 - 0
PEN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |