Coruripe vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
IPA
1 - 4
COR
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 2
COR
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 1
COR
29%
25%
45%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
COR
0 - 1
COR
63%
20%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CSE
0 - 5
COR
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 4
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 1
COR
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
3 - 1
IPA
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |