UA Tamaulipas vs CA Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
10º
7º
19
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 0
COR
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
GAV
14%
22%
65%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
28%
22%
49%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
8%
16%
77%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
COR
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
4 - 0
AGU
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REB
0 - 1
ZAC
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
3 - 1
PDS
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HDZ
4 - 0
ZAC
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
ZAC
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |