Coritiba vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
CHA
56%
26%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
COT
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
COT
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
COT
0 - 0
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
32%
26%
41%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
SPO
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |