Coritiba vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
ACP
1 - 2
COT
13%
23%
65%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
UBA
1 - 0
COT
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
ENG
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
COT
1 - 0
SCI
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
COT
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
UBA
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 37 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LON
2 - 1
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
ROM
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRZ
39%
25%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |