Coritiba vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
COT
9%
19%
73%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
LON
69%
20%
10%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
COT
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
FOZ
0 - 3
COT
10%
19%
71%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
CAS
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 0
OPE
45%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 2
PAR
26%
25%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 2
ATP
16%
24%
61%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
REM
3 - 1
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |