Coritiba vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
COT
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
SAO
27%
28%
46%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SCI
3 - 0
COT
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 1
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
COT
5 - 0
FLA
28%
27%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 0
COR
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 1
ATP
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 2
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
3 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |