Paranaense 1 Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Coritiba vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
COT
17%
21%
62%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COT
2 - 0
CIA
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CIA
0 - 4
COT
7%
16%
78%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 2
COT
5%
14%
81%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
COT
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAS
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRE
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
AMF
11%
20%
69%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +2 |