Coritiba vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
COT
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
48%
26%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PPE
2 - 0
COR
27%
28%
45%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |