Coritiba vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CRZ
2 - 1
COT
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
SCI
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
COT
52%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
COT
3 - 2
VAS
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
COT
5 - 1
VAS
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 0
PAL
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 1
CEA
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |