Paranaense 1 Round 4

Coritiba vs AC Paranavaí analysis

Coritiba AC Paranavaí
84 ELO 47
9.7% Tilt -2.3%
282º General ELO ranking 7466º
30º Country ELO ranking 324º
ELO win probability
87.6%
Coritiba
9.6%
Draw
2.9%
AC Paranavaí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
Coritiba
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.4%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.6%
2.9%
Win probability
AC Paranavaí
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coritiba
-8%
+15%
AC Paranavaí

ELO progression

Coritiba
AC Paranavaí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2012
NAC
Nacional AM
0 - 0
Coritiba
COT
11%
20%
70%
84 48 36 0
11 Mar. 2012
IRA
Iraty
1 - 5
Coritiba
COT
10%
20%
70%
84 47 37 0
04 Mar. 2012
JMA
J. Malucelli
1 - 2
Coritiba
COT
11%
21%
68%
84 51 33 0
01 Mar. 2012
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Toledo EC
TCW
88%
9%
3%
83 55 28 +1
26 Feb. 2012
COT
Coritiba
5 - 0
Roma Apucarana
ROM
85%
11%
4%
83 51 32 0

Matches

AC Paranavaí
AC Paranavaí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2012
ACP
AC Paranavaí
2 - 0
Arapongas
ARA
28%
24%
48%
45 58 13 0
04 Mar. 2012
ACP
AC Paranavaí
0 - 3
Londrina
LON
28%
24%
48%
46 57 11 -1
01 Mar. 2012
OPE
Operário PR
2 - 1
AC Paranavaí
ACP
54%
23%
22%
47 51 4 -1
26 Feb. 2012
ACP
AC Paranavaí
1 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
13%
20%
67%
47 78 31 0
22 Feb. 2012
ROM
Roma Apucarana
0 - 0
AC Paranavaí
ACP
53%
23%
24%
47 52 5 0