Corinthians vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
COR
14%
19%
67%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
COR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 0
COR
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
COR
1 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
ITU
2 - 3
COR
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 3
MOR
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 0
TIG
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 1
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
TIG
2 - 0
COR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |