Corinthians vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 4
COR
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FLA
3 - 0
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
LAN
4 - 2
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GOI
5 - 3
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 4
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 3
PAR
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |