Corinthians vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
BAH
3 - 0
COR
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1981 |
COR
2 - 0
PIN
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
OPE
0 - 1
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
COR
1 - 1
GOI
45%
28%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
POR
1 - 0
COR
40%
29%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
SAN
1 - 1
PPE
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
CRZ
0 - 3
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
SAN
2 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1981 |
SAN
2 - 0
ITA
81%
14%
6%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |